A governance perspective on East Central Europe’s population predicament: Young exit, grey voice and lopsided loyalty

نویسندگان

چکیده

Much of East Central Europe today faces the double challenge having a population that is both ageing fast and shrinking steadily. Elderly-oriented political dynamics myopic governance are part this predicament, also among reasons why future prospects not rosy. Having started post-communist transition with younger populations, successive governments in region have comprehensively squandered decades-long window opportunity to adapt their policies predicted ahead (Vanhuysse Perek-Bialas, 2021). Especially Hungary, Poland, Czechia, Slovak Republic, Romania Bulgaria, failure reflected low active child well-being index rankings, levels social investment mediocre educational outcomes, family reinforce traditional motherhood roles or barely support parents at all. Romania, Croatia, Hungary and, especially, Baltic states experienced large-scale emigration (‘young exit’). Slovenia Visegrad Four, but Baltics, became premature pensioners‘ democracies characterised by unusually high pro-elderly policy bias (‘lopsided loyalty’). While salience increased around time demographic closed, shift was driven pro-natalist, neo-familialist gender-regressive ideologies, rather than concerted effort boost human capabilities reward reproduction. But then, elderly voter power (‘grey voice’) highest world. Politics strongly constrains likelihood appropriate capital-boosting responses region’s predicament. Alarm bells thus ring for generational contract under pressure longer-term societal resilience.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Vienna yearbook of population research ...

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1728-5305', '1728-4414', '1728-5303']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1553/p-5gkf-6kn3